Probabilidades, análises e previsões da card principal do UFC Oklahoma City | Fator X — Federação de Jiu-Jitsu, Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Federation

This weekend (Sat., July 18, 2026), Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will venture forth to the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla., for UFC OKC. Unfortunately, one of the best fights of the card imploded just last week when Kevin Holland withdrew from his scheduled clash with top rising prospect, Jacobe Smith. Fortunately, the high-profile main event pitting former Middleweight champion, Dricus du Plessis, versus long-time Welterweight kingpin, Kamaru Usman, remains intact. The remaining card is a little disappointing for a non-Apex event, yet should still provide some excitement.

Let’s dig into the analysis and predictions of the four main card fights leading up to the main event:

Middleweight: Jared Cannonier (+235) vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (-320)
Best Win for Cannonier? Sean Strickland For Duncan? Roman Dolidze
Current Streak: Cannonier lost his last bout, while Duncan has won four straight
X-Factor: Cannonier is 42 years old
How these two match up: Every Middleweight fight has the potential to be an awful slog, but this should be a fun collision of strikers.

Cannonier, somehow, is still performing really well. He’s lost three of his last four, sure, but those defeats came to the division’s elite and Michael Page (perhaps the most unique challenge in MMA). He’s still explosive and well-conditioned, and Cannonier hasn’t shown any major issues with durability or failure to pull the trigger, which are usually what disappear first in older fighters.

Duncan, meanwhile, is a great example of a little confidence making all the difference. Early in his UFC career, “CLD” was clearly talented yet couldn’t really open up for fear of the takedown. As soon as he settled into the Octagon and shored up his defense, Duncan started demolishing opponents with spinning strikes and sprinting up the ladder.

He’s now a lot of fun to watch.

This is one of those fights where momentum just feels like the most major factor. There’s no glaring edge on paper that justifies Duncan’s status as a 3-1 favorite, yet I will be picking him to win. He has the physical gifts to match Cannonier’s raw power, and Duncan’s kickboxing seems more fluid between the two. I expect Cannonier will try to slow him down with low kicks and clinch work, but that’s going to be a difficult game to play given the 12-year age gap.

Two years ago, Cannonier probably keeps the gate. Nowadays, Christian Leroy Duncan takes a step closer to a Top 10 ranking.

Prediction: Duncan via decision

Lightweight: Chase Hooper (-390) vs. Mitch Ramirez (+280)
Best Win for Hooper? Jim Miller For Ramirez? Aireon Tavarres
Current Streak: Both men lost their last two
X-Factor: Hooper has lost two straight via knockout as a huge favorite
How these two match up: This oughta be a rebound fight for Hooper.

Hooper is a very slick grappler with aggressive, high-volume kickboxing to accompany his ground game. It must be asked, No entanto, if the anti-Hooper playbook has now been written and published. His last two opponents smoked Hooper simply by retreating, let him reach forward with his strikes, and then obliterating the lanky grappler with counter shots and superior athleticism. Conversely, Ramirez is a heavy hitter still looking for his first UFC victory. The 33-year-old is a decent puncher, but thus far, the rest of his game hasn’t really held up to the elevated level of competition.

Given the superiority of Hooper’s grappling, this should be a fairly one-sided affair. Ramirez may hit hard, but he doesn’t have the strength and athleticism of Alexander Hernandez or Lance Gibson Jr., the men who recently dispatched Hooper. The consecutive knockout losses are definitely concerning, but Hooper has historically ran over this level of competition.

Barring a sudden level up from Ramirez, “The Dream” likes returns to the win column with a strangle.

Prediction: Hooper via submission

Strawweight: Tabatha Ricci (+285) vs. Fatima Kline (-400)
Best Win for Ricci? Amanda Ribas For Kline? Angela Hill
Current Streak: Ricci lost her last bout, whereas Kline has won three straight
X-Factor: Ricci is a tiny Strawweight
How these two match up: These odds are a little wild since it’s a big step up in competition for Kline.

It’s not easy being an undersized grappler, and yet Ricci gets it done more often than not. She’s a really slick Judoka and grappler, able to toss and control larger opponents thanks to excellent technique. Kline, meanwhile, is one of the division’s hottest up-and-comers. The 26-year-old h

Fonte: MMA Mania — leia o original